Pamene dziko likulimbana ndi mliri wa COVID-19 komanso kusatsimikizika kambiri, kukhazikitsidwa kwa pangano lazamalonda la RCEP kumapereka chilimbikitso panthawi yake pakuchira mwachangu komanso kukula kwanthawi yayitali komanso kutukuka kwa dera.
HONG KONG, Jan. 2 - Pothirirapo ndemanga za ndalama zomwe adapeza pogulitsa matani asanu a durian kwa amalonda kunja kwa Disembala, Nguyen Van Hai, mlimi wakalekale m'chigawo chakum'mwera kwa Vietnam cha Tien Giang, adati kukula kotereku kudachitika chifukwa chotsatira miyezo yokhwima yolima. .
Ananenanso kukhutitsidwa ndi kuchuluka kwa kufunikira kochokera kumayiko omwe akutenga nawo gawo mu Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), pomwe China imatenga gawo la mkango.
Monga Hai, alimi ndi makampani ambiri aku Vietnam akukulitsa minda yawo ya zipatso ndikuwongolera zipatso zawo kuti apititse patsogolo kutumiza kwawo ku China ndi mamembala ena a RCEP.
Mgwirizano wa RCEP, womwe unayamba kugwira ntchito chaka chapitacho, magulu a mayiko a 10 a Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN) komanso China, Japan, South Korea, Australia ndi New Zealand.Cholinga chake ndi kuthetsa misonkho yopitilira 90 peresenti yazamalonda pakati pa omwe adasaina zaka 20 zikubwerazi.
Pamene dziko likulimbana ndi mliri wa COVID-19 komanso kusatsimikizika kambiri, kukhazikitsidwa kwa pangano lazamalonda la RCEP kumapereka chilimbikitso panthawi yake pakuchira mwachangu komanso kukula kwanthawi yayitali komanso kutukuka kwa dera.
KULIMBIKITSA PANTHAWI YAKE KUTI MUCHIRE
Kuti achulukitse katundu kumayiko a RCEP, mabizinesi aku Vietnam akuyenera kupanga ukadaulo ndikuwongolera mapangidwe ndi mtundu wazinthu, a Dinh Gia Nghia, wachiwiri kwa wamkulu wamakampani ogulitsa zakudya kumpoto kwa Ninh Binh, adauza Xinhua.
"RCEP yakhala njira yoyambira kuti tiwonjezere kutulutsa kwazinthu ndi mtundu wake, komanso kuchuluka ndi kufunikira kwa zogulitsa kunja," adatero.
Nghia akuti mu 2023, zipatso ndi ndiwo zamasamba zaku Vietnam zomwe zimatumizidwa ku China zitha kukwera ndi 20 mpaka 30 peresenti, zikomo makamaka chifukwa cha mayendedwe oyenda bwino, chilolezo chofulumira komanso malamulo osavuta komanso owonekera bwino pamakonzedwe a RCEP, komanso chitukuko cha e-commerce. .
Chilolezo cha kasitomu chafupikitsidwa kukhala maola asanu ndi limodzi pazogulitsa zaulimi komanso mkati mwa maola 48 pazinthu zonse pansi pa mgwirizano wa RCEP, chithandizo chachikulu pazachuma cha Thailand chodalira kunja.
M'miyezi isanu ndi inayi yoyambirira ya 2022, malonda aku Thailand ndi maiko omwe ali mamembala a RCEP, omwe amakhala pafupifupi 60 peresenti ya malonda ake onse akunja, adakwera ndi 10.1% chaka ndi chaka kufika $252.73 biliyoni yaku US, zomwe Unduna wa Zamalonda ku Thailand udawonetsa.
Ku Japan, RCEP yabweretsa dzikolo ndi bwenzi lake lalikulu kwambiri lazamalonda ku China munjira yofanana yamalonda yaulere koyamba.
"Kuyambitsa ziro za ziro pakakhala kuchuluka kwa malonda kudzakhala ndi zotsatira zazikulu pakukweza malonda," adatero Masahiro Morinaga, nthumwi yayikulu ya ofesi ya Japan External Trade Organisation ku Chengdu.
Zambiri zaku Japan zidawonetsa kuti zogulitsa kunja kwa dzikolo zaulimi, nkhalango, ndi nsomba ndi chakudya zidagunda ma yen 1.12 thililiyoni (madola 8.34 biliyoni) kwa miyezi 10 mpaka Okutobala chaka chatha.Pakati pawo, zotumiza kunja ku China zidatenga 20,47 peresenti ndipo zidakwera ndi 24.5 peresenti kuchokera nthawi yomweyo chaka cham'mbuyo, ndikuyika patsogolo pa kuchuluka kwa kutumiza kunja.
M'miyezi 11 yoyambirira ya 2022, zomwe China zidatumizidwa kunja ndi mamembala a RCEP zidakwana 11.8 trilioni yuan (madola 1.69 thililiyoni), kukwera ndi 7.9 peresenti pachaka.
Pulofesa Peter Drysdale wa ku East Asia Bureau of Economic Research ku Australian National University anati: "RCEP yakhala mgwirizano wodziwika bwino panthawi yakusatsimikizika kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi."Zikulepheretsa chitetezo cha malonda ndi kugawikana kwa 30 peresenti ya chuma cha padziko lonse ndipo ndizomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale mgwirizano wamalonda padziko lonse."
Malinga ndi kafukufuku wa banki yachitukuko ku Asia, RCEP ikweza ndalama za mamembala a zachuma ndi 0.6 peresenti pofika chaka cha 2030, ndikuwonjezera ndalama zokwana madola 245 biliyoni pachaka ndi ntchito 2.8 miliyoni ku ntchito za m'madera.
KUPHATIKIZANA KWA chigawo
Akatswiri ati pangano la RCEP lithandizira kuphatikizika kwachuma m'chigawochi kudzera mumitengo yotsika, maunyolo amphamvu komanso njira zopangira, ndikupanga malonda olimba m'derali.
Malamulo omwe amachokera ku RCEP, omwe amati zinthu zochokera kumayiko omwe ali membala zizichitidwa mofanana, ziwonjezera njira zopezera zinthu m'derali, zipatsa mwayi mabizinesi ang'onoang'ono ndi apakatikati kuti aphatikizire mumayendedwe am'madera ndikuchepetsa mtengo wamalonda. za mabizinesi.
Kwa maiko omwe akutukuka kumene pakati pa omwe adasaina 15, ndalama zakunja zakunja zikuyembekezekanso kukula pomwe osunga ndalama m'derali akukwera mwaukadaulo kuti apange maunyolo ogulitsa.
"Ndikuwona kuthekera kwa RCEP kukhala gawo lalikulu la Asia-Pacific," atero Pulofesa Lawrence Loh, mkulu wa Center for Governance and Sustainability ku National University of Singapore's Business School, ndikuwonjezera kuti ngati magawo aliwonse azinthu zogulitsira kusokonezedwa, mayiko ena akhoza kubwera kudzakonza.
Monga mgwirizano waukulu wamalonda waufulu womwe unapangidwapo, RCEP pamapeto pake idzapanga njira yamphamvu kwambiri yomwe ingakhale chitsanzo kwa madera ena ambiri amalonda aulere ndi mapangano a malonda aulere padziko lonse lapansi, adatero pulofesa.
Gu Qingyang, pulofesa wothandizira pa Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy ku National University of Singapore, adauza Xinhua kuti mphamvu zamtunduwu ndizokopa kwambiri zachuma zakunja kwa dera, zomwe zikuwona kuwonjezeka kwa ndalama kuchokera kunja.
KUKULA KWAMBIRI
Mgwirizanowu udzathandizanso kwambiri kuchepetsa kusiyana kwa chitukuko ndi kulola kugawana koyenera komanso koyenera kwa chitukuko.
Malinga ndi lipoti la Banki Yadziko Lonse lomwe linasindikizidwa mu February 2022, mayiko omwe ali ndi ndalama zochepa zapakati adzawona phindu lalikulu kwambiri pansi pa mgwirizano wa RCEP.
Poyerekeza zotsatira za malonda a malonda, kafukufukuyu akupeza kuti ndalama zenizeni zikhoza kukula ndi 5 peresenti ku Vietnam ndi Malaysia, ndipo anthu ochuluka a 27 miliyoni adzalowa m'gulu lapakati pofika chaka cha 2035 chifukwa cha izo.
Undersecretary of State and speaker of the Cambodian Commerce Ministry a Penn Sovicheat ati RCEP itha kuthandiza Cambodia kumaliza maphunziro ake mdziko losatukuka posachedwa 2028.
RCEP ndiyomwe imathandizira kukula kwamalonda kwanthawi yayitali komanso kokhazikika, ndipo mgwirizano wamalonda ndi wokopa kukopa ndalama zambiri zakunja kudziko lake, adauza Xinhua."Ma FDI ochulukirapo amatanthauza ndalama zambiri zatsopano komanso mwayi watsopano wantchito kwa anthu athu," adatero.
Ufumuwo, womwe umadziwika ndi zinthu zaulimi monga mpunga wogayidwa, komanso kupanga zovala ndi nsapato, upindula kuchokera ku RCEP pankhani yopititsa patsogolo malonda awo kunja ndikuphatikizana ndi chuma chachigawo komanso padziko lonse lapansi, mkuluyo adatero.
Michael Chai Woon Chew, wachiwiri kwa mlembi wamkulu wa Associated Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry of Malaysia, adauza Xinhua kuti kusamutsa ukadaulo ndi kuthekera kopanga kuchokera kumayiko otukuka kupita kumayiko osatukuka ndi phindu lalikulu pazamalonda.
"Zimathandiza kuonjezera zokolola zachuma ndi kupititsa patsogolo kuchuluka kwa ndalama, kuonjezera mphamvu zogula kugula katundu ndi ntchito zambiri kuchokera ku chuma chotukuka kwambiri komanso mosiyana," adatero Chai.
Monga chuma chachiwiri padziko lonse lapansi chokhala ndi mphamvu zogwiritsa ntchito kwambiri komanso kupanga kwamphamvu komanso kuthekera kwatsopano, China ipereka njira yolimbikitsira RCEP, adatero Loh.
"Pali zambiri zomwe zingapezeke kumagulu onse okhudzidwa," adatero, ndikuwonjezera kuti RCEP ili ndi chuma chosiyanasiyana pazigawo zosiyanasiyana za chitukuko, kotero kuti chuma champhamvu monga China chingathandize omwe akutukuka kumene pamene chuma champhamvu chikhoza kupindula ndi chuma. ndondomeko chifukwa cha kufunidwa kwatsopano ndi misika yatsopano.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jan-03-2023